Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.000713 0.000808 0.000908 0.001022 0.001147 0.001279 0.001431
2025-11-23 0.000543 0.000671 0.000816 0.000990 0.001193 0.001421 0.001694
2025-11-30 0.000461 0.000605 0.000774 0.000987 0.001245 0.001544 0.001915
2025-12-07 0.000400 0.000553 0.000741 0.000986 0.001292 0.001657 0.002123
2025-12-14 0.000348 0.000506 0.000706 0.000975 0.001321 0.001745 0.002299
2025-12-21 0.000304 0.000462 0.000671 0.000960 0.001340 0.001818 0.002454
2025-12-28 0.000282 0.000446 0.000670 0.000986 0.001412 0.001956 0.002693
2026-01-04 0.000259 0.000427 0.000661 0.001001 0.001468 0.002075 0.002910
2026-01-11 0.000233 0.000399 0.000638 0.000992 0.001490 0.002149 0.003069
2026-01-18 0.000208 0.000372 0.000613 0.000980 0.001506 0.002213 0.003214
2026-01-25 0.000192 0.000357 0.000605 0.000989 0.001550 0.002316 0.003414
2026-02-01 0.000177 0.000340 0.000593 0.000993 0.001586 0.002407 0.003597
2026-02-08 0.000155 0.000310 0.000559 0.000962 0.001571 0.002427 0.003687
2026-02-15 0.000136 0.000285 0.000530 0.000937 0.001563 0.002458 0.003789
2026-02-22 0.000124 0.000270 0.000516 0.000933 0.001585 0.002530 0.003951
2026-03-01 0.000114 0.000257 0.000505 0.000932 0.001612 0.002608 0.004124
2026-03-08 0.000103 0.000241 0.000488 0.000922 0.001623 0.002663 0.004263
2026-03-15 0.000092 0.000225 0.000469 0.000907 0.001626 0.002706 0.004385
2026-03-22 0.000088 0.000223 0.000474 0.000932 0.001692 0.002844 0.004648
2026-03-29 0.000083 0.000218 0.000473 0.000946 0.001741 0.002958 0.004879
2026-04-05 0.000076 0.000206 0.000460 0.000938 0.001754 0.003017 0.005027
2026-04-12 0.000069 0.000194 0.000445 0.000927 0.001760 0.003064 0.005159
2026-04-19 0.000064 0.000188 0.000441 0.000935 0.001800 0.003164 0.005372